Blackjack Odds and Probability

(Casinos Guides)




Information About Payout Odds



Blackjack Payout Odds and ProbabilityPayout odds at blackjack are calculated as follows:

  • 3 to 2 - when a player has 'blackjack' and beats the casino dealer
  • Evens - paid for any other win
  • Original stake bet returned - in the case of a stand off (tie) with the casino dealer
  • 2 to 1 - where a player has taken out insurance against the casino dealer achieving 'blackjack'
  • No other odds are paid and the casino dealer always collects stake money from losing hands without insurance

Probability and Useful Statistics



General blackjack probabilities are calculated as follows:

Casino Dealer
28%
probability to go bust
53%
probability to win
Blackjack Player
28%
probability to go bust
47%
probability to win
Basic Strategy Player
17%
probability to go bust
49%
probability to win



Casino Dealer's
Face Card - 5
42%
probability to go bust
up to 58%
probability to win
Casino Dealer's
Face Card - 6
42%
probability to go bust
up to 58%
probability to win
Casino Dealer's
Face Card - 7
26%
probability to go bust
up to 74%
probability to win
Casino Dealer's
Face Card - 10
23%
probability to go bust
up to 77%
probability to win
Casino Dealer's
Face Card - A
17%
probability to go bust
up to 83%
probability to win




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